Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.128404 0.137435 0.146867 0.157472 0.169084 0.181433 0.195589
2025-09-07 0.111560 0.125094 0.140108 0.158089 0.179151 0.203185 0.232887
2025-09-14 0.097329 0.112922 0.131008 0.153732 0.181790 0.215664 0.260209
2025-09-21 0.086024 0.102429 0.122122 0.147809 0.180892 0.222711 0.280641
2025-09-28 0.078302 0.095274 0.116241 0.144482 0.182205 0.231870 0.303973
2025-10-05 0.074735 0.092824 0.115798 0.147719 0.191921 0.252538 0.344872
2025-10-12 0.071339 0.090213 0.114770 0.149848 0.200026 0.271460 0.385277
2025-10-19 0.067438 0.086581 0.112007 0.149200 0.203924 0.284444 0.418023
2025-10-26 0.064146 0.083505 0.109707 0.148890 0.208090 0.297974 0.453031
2025-11-02 0.060797 0.080111 0.106688 0.147218 0.209923 0.307873 0.483042
2025-11-09 0.057039 0.075912 0.102242 0.143054 0.207467 0.310548 0.500702
2025-11-16 0.054016 0.072585 0.098838 0.140182 0.206728 0.315812 0.523426
2025-11-23 0.051256 0.069555 0.095780 0.137759 0.206716 0.322631 0.550686
2025-11-30 0.049605 0.068062 0.094923 0.138727 0.212382 0.339868 0.600697
2025-12-07 0.046927 0.064916 0.091394 0.135178 0.210109 0.342719 0.622355
2025-12-14 0.044104 0.061422 0.087153 0.130196 0.204949 0.339746 0.631411
2025-12-21 0.042009 0.058934 0.084341 0.127382 0.203354 0.343239 0.654822
2025-12-28 0.041348 0.058596 0.084857 0.130137 0.211907 0.366992 0.727176
2026-01-04 0.040516 0.057946 0.084832 0.131946 0.218848 0.388313 0.797911
2026-01-11 0.039237 0.056537 0.083505 0.131396 0.221288 0.400698 0.849250
2026-01-18 0.038097 0.055297 0.082388 0.131133 0.224231 0.414416 0.906559
2026-01-25 0.036798 0.053749 0.080687 0.129713 0.224780 0.423016 0.952020
2026-02-01 0.035168 0.051607 0.077905 0.126173 0.220839 0.421311 0.968957